Viendo archivo del lunes, 25 agosto 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Aug 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 237 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Aug 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(26 Aug, 27 Aug, 28 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 457 km/s at 25/0855Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 25/0915Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
25/1231Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 10 pfu at 25/1415Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1860 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (26 Aug) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (27 Aug, 28 Aug). Protons greater
than 10 Mev are expected to cross threshold on day one (26 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Aug a 28 Aug
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 85% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Aug 175 Previsto 26 Aug-28 Aug 152/155/155 Media de 90 Días 25 Aug 137
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 005/ NA Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Aug 009/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Aug-28 Aug 011/015-009/010-009/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Aug a 28 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 55% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/02/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 125.3 +12.7 |
| Last 30 days | 130.4 +32.7 |