Viendo archivo del sábado, 13 septiembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Sep 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 256 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Sep 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (14
Sep, 15 Sep, 16 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 394 km/s at 12/2219Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 13/0132Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
13/1230Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1132 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (14 Sep) and quiet
to active levels on days two and three (15 Sep, 16 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Sep a 16 Sep
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Sep 118 Previsto 14 Sep-16 Sep 120/115/115 Media de 90 Días 13 Sep 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Sep 009/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Sep 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Sep-16 Sep 016/020-013/015-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Sep a 16 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 50% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/01/2026 | M2.2 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
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