Viendo archivo del viernes, 10 octubre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Oct 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 283 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Oct 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (11
Oct, 12 Oct, 13 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 615 km/s at 10/0807Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 10/1038Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
10/0621Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 4812 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (11 Oct), unsettled to minor
storm levels on day two (12 Oct) and quiet to minor storm levels on day
three (13 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Oct a 13 Oct
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Oct 121 Previsto 11 Oct-13 Oct 125/120/120 Media de 90 Días 10 Oct 153
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Oct 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Oct 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Oct-13 Oct 011/015-018/028-015/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Oct a 13 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 65% | 60% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 87.6 +8.3 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +9.1 |
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