Viendo archivo del jueves, 25 septiembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Sep 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 268 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Sep 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (26 Sep, 27 Sep,
28 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 548 km/s at 25/0347Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 25/1223Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
25/0829Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 679 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (26 Sep), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (27 Sep) and quiet to active levels on day three (28 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Sep a 28 Sep
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Sep 170 Previsto 26 Sep-28 Sep 170/165/165 Media de 90 Días 25 Sep 148
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Sep 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Sep 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Sep-28 Sep 006/005-008/008-009/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Sep a 28 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 25% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (5%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| marzo 2026 | 75.5 -37.1 |
| Last 30 days | 61.4 -62.2 |