Viendo archivo del viernes, 26 septiembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Sep 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 269 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Sep 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (27 Sep, 28 Sep,
29 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 500 km/s at 25/2222Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
26/2029Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
25/2211Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1254 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (27 Sep) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (28 Sep, 29 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Sep a 29 Sep
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Sep 165 Previsto 27 Sep-29 Sep 165/165/160 Media de 90 Días 26 Sep 149
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Sep 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Sep 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Sep-29 Sep 008/008-013/018-011/014
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Sep a 29 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 45% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 90.4 +11.1 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +8.3 |
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