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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Oct 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 296 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Oct 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (24
Oct, 25 Oct, 26 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 501 km/s at 23/2001Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at
23/0950Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
23/1647Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2 pfu at 23/0000Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 681 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and three (24 Oct, 26 Oct) and quiet
to unsettled levels on day two (25 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Oct a 26 Oct
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Oct 130 Previsto 24 Oct-26 Oct 130/135/135 Media de 90 Días 23 Oct 153
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Oct 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Oct 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Oct-26 Oct 006/005-008/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Oct a 26 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 25% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 20/12/2025 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 120.8 +29 |
| Last 30 days | 109.9 +21.6 |