Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 diciembre 2025

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Dec 06 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 340 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Dec 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (07 Dec, 08 Dec, 09 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 731 km/s at 06/1007Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 05/2109Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 06/1035Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2135 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and two (07 Dec, 08 Dec) and quiet levels on day three (09 Dec). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (07 Dec, 08 Dec, 09 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Dec a 09 Dec
Clase M65%65%65%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Dec 200
  Previsto   07 Dec-09 Dec 195/190/190
  Media de 90 Días        06 Dec 147

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Dec  010/013
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Dec  016/021
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Dec-09 Dec  012/018-014/018-005/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Dec a 09 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%40%10%
Tormenta Menor25%25%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa65%65%15%

All times in UTC

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