Viendo archivo del viernes, 2 enero 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jan 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 2 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jan 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (03 Jan, 04 Jan, 05 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 884 km/s at 02/1611Z. Total IMF
reached 9 nT at 02/1600Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-8 nT at 02/2030Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 4,196 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (03 Jan), quiet to
minor storm levels on day two (04 Jan) and quiet to unsettled levels on
day three (05 Jan). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold
on days one, two, and three (03 Jan, 04 Jan, 05 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jan a 05 Jan
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jan 166 Previsto 03 Jan-05 Jan 166/160/165 Media de 90 Días 02 Jan 147
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jan 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jan 015/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jan-05 Jan 026/042-015/018-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jan a 05 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 85% | 65% | 35% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 02/02/2026 | X2.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 02/02/2026 | M5.2 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| febrero 2026 | 97 -27 |
| Last 30 days | 118.3 +3.5 |