Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 diciembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Dec 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 342 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Dec 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(09 Dec, 10 Dec, 11 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 594 km/s at 08/1918Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
07/2210Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
08/2055Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1039 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at active to severe storm levels on day one (09 Dec), quiet to
minor storm levels on day two (10 Dec) and quiet to unsettled levels on
day three (11 Dec). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold
on days one, two, and three (09 Dec, 10 Dec, 11 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Dec a 11 Dec
| Clase M | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Dec 186 Previsto 09 Dec-11 Dec 190/185/175 Media de 90 Días 08 Dec 149
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Dec 005/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 013/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Dec-11 Dec 044/066-022/033-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Dec a 11 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 35% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 20% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 85% | 75% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 20/06/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 11/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| mayo 2026 | 101.4 +22.1 |
| junio 2026 | 102.1 +0.7 |
| Last 30 days | 107.9 +9.7 |
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