Viendo archivo del martes, 9 diciembre 2025

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Dec 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 343 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Dec 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (10 Dec, 11 Dec, 12 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 671 km/s at 09/1305Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 09/1250Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 09/1222Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1572 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (10 Dec, 11 Dec, 12 Dec). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (10 Dec) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day two (11 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Dec a 12 Dec
Clase M65%65%65%
Clase X15%15%10%
Protón15%10%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Dec 183
  Previsto   10 Dec-12 Dec 180/175/160
  Media de 90 Días        09 Dec 150

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Dec  001/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Dec  036/055
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec  013/009-007/009-011/014

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Dec a 12 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%20%35%
Tormenta Menor35%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa20%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%25%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa75%25%45%

All times in UTC

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