Viendo archivo del martes, 9 diciembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Dec 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 343 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Dec 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(10 Dec, 11 Dec, 12 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 671 km/s at 09/1305Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
09/1250Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
09/1222Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1572 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (10 Dec,
11 Dec, 12 Dec). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on day one (10 Dec) and have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on day two (11 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| Clase M | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Protón | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Dec 183 Previsto 10 Dec-12 Dec 180/175/160 Media de 90 Días 09 Dec 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Dec 036/055 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec 013/009-007/009-011/014
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 75% | 25% | 45% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 20/06/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 11/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| mayo 2026 | 101.4 +22.1 |
| junio 2026 | 102.1 +0.7 |
| Last 30 days | 107.9 +9.7 |
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