Viendo archivo del martes, 30 diciembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Dec 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 364 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Dec 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (31 Dec, 01
Jan, 02 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 563 km/s at 30/1514Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 30/1503Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
30/1515Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 5,612 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (31 Dec), unsettled to minor
storm levels on day two (01 Jan) and unsettled to active levels on day
three (02 Jan). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on
days one, two, and three (31 Dec, 01 Jan, 02 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Dec a 02 Jan
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Dec 182 Previsto 31 Dec-02 Jan 200/200/195 Media de 90 Días 30 Dec 146
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Dec 009/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Dec 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Dec-02 Jan 011/012-021/029-013/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Dec a 02 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 45% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 70% | 45% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (4%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| marzo 2026 | 74.8 -3.4 |
| Last 30 days | 53.3 -74.6 |