Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 diciembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Dec 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 363 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Dec 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(30 Dec, 31 Dec, 01 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 496 km/s at 29/1634Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 29/1126Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
29/0822Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 6,690 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (30 Dec), quiet to active
levels on day two (31 Dec) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day
three (01 Jan). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on
days one, two, and three (30 Dec, 31 Dec, 01 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Dec a 01 Jan
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Dec 196 Previsto 30 Dec-01 Jan 175/170/165 Media de 90 Días 29 Dec 146
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Dec 007/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Dec 009/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Dec-01 Jan 007/008-011/012-021/026
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Dec a 01 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 40% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 01/02/2026 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 01/02/2026 | M1.5 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| Last 30 days | 119.2 +2.7 |