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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jan 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 9 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jan 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one and two (10 Jan, 11 Jan) and expected to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day three (12 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 549 km/s at 09/2011Z. Total IMF reached 16 nT at 09/1117Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at 08/2309Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 433 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (10 Jan), unsettled to minor storm levels on day two (11 Jan) and quiet to active levels on day three (12 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jan a 12 Jan
Clase M15%20%20%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Jan 117
  Previsto   10 Jan-12 Jan 118/118/120
  Media de 90 Días        09 Jan 148

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jan  008/014
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Jan  013/016
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Jan-12 Jan  016/021-021/030-011/015

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jan a 12 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%35%35%
Tormenta Menor30%30%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa70%70%50%

All times in UTC

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