Viendo archivo del sábado, 10 enero 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jan 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 10 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jan 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (11 Jan,
12 Jan, 13 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to major storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 629 km/s at 10/2010Z. Total IMF
reached 19 nT at 10/2022Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-19 nT at 10/2022Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 2507 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (11 Jan) and quiet
to active levels on days two and three (12 Jan, 13 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Jan 114 Previsto 11 Jan-13 Jan 118/120/120 Media de 90 Días 10 Jan 147
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jan 009/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Jan 019/024 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Jan-13 Jan 021/030-011/015-013/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 70% | 50% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119.2 -4.8 |
| Last 30 days | 119.2 +0.9 |