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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jan 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 14 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Jan 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (15 Jan, 16 Jan,
17 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 568 km/s at 14/0945Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
14/2020Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
14/1433Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 9398 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (15 Jan), quiet levels on
day two (16 Jan) and active to minor storm levels on day three (17 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Jan a 17 Jan
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Jan 127 Previsto 15 Jan-17 Jan 130/132/128 Media de 90 Días 14 Jan 146
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Jan 009/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Jan 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Jan-17 Jan 008/008-006/005-017/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Jan a 17 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 15% | 75% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 01/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| Last 30 days | 119.2 +2.7 |