Viendo archivo del martes, 10 febrero 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Feb 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 41 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Feb 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on day one (11 Feb) and likely to be
moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days two and three
(12 Feb, 13 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 521 km/s at 10/1818Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 09/2100Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
10/1935Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1,006 pfu at 10/1205Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (11 Feb, 12 Feb, 13
Feb). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on day one (11 Feb),
have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day two (12 Feb) and have
a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (13 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Feb a 13 Feb
| Clase M | 65% | 65% | 55% |
| Clase X | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Protón | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Feb 142 Previsto 11 Feb-13 Feb 145/140/140 Media de 90 Días 10 Feb 151
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Feb 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Feb 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Feb-13 Feb 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Feb a 13 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 03/06/2026 | M7.9 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| junio 2026 | 139.5 +60.2 |
| Last 30 days | 96.2 +2.6 |
