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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Feb 10 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 41 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Feb 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on day one (11 Feb) and likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days two and three (12 Feb, 13 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 521 km/s at 10/1818Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 09/2100Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 10/1935Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1,006 pfu at 10/1205Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (11 Feb, 12 Feb, 13 Feb). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on day one (11 Feb), have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day two (12 Feb) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (13 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Feb a 13 Feb
Clase M65%65%55%
Clase X25%20%15%
Protón25%20%15%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       10 Feb 142
  Previsto   11 Feb-13 Feb 145/140/140
  Media de 90 Días        10 Feb 151

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 09 Feb  005/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 10 Feb  006/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 11 Feb-13 Feb  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Feb a 13 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa20%20%20%

All times in UTC

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