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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jan 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 29 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jan 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (30
Jan, 31 Jan, 01 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 781 km/s at 29/1349Z. Total IMF
reached 8 nT at 28/2148Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-8 nT at 28/2201Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 6959 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (30 Jan), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (31 Jan) and quiet levels on day three (01 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jan a 01 Feb
| Clase M | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Jan 129 Previsto 30 Jan-01 Feb 125/115/110 Media de 90 Días 29 Jan 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jan 015/024 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Jan 014/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Jan-01 Feb 009/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jan a 01 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 35% | 35% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/02/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 03/02/2026 | M2.5 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| febrero 2026 | 114 -10 |
| Last 30 days | 118.1 +6.2 |