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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Feb 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 32 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Feb 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at very high levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
to high with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (02
Feb, 03 Feb, 04 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 402 km/s at 31/2128Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
01/0250Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
01/1111Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 10156 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (02 Feb, 03 Feb, 04
Feb). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing
threshold on days two and three (03 Feb, 04 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Feb a 04 Feb
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Feb 162 Previsto 02 Feb-04 Feb 160/155/155 Media de 90 Días 01 Feb 151
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Jan 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Feb 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb 005/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Feb a 04 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 09/02/2026 | M2.8 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 132.1 +19.5 |
| Last 30 days | 130.2 +30.2 |