Viendo archivo del lunes, 5 enero 2026

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jan 05 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 5 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Jan 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (06 Jan, 07 Jan, 08 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 505 km/s at 05/0118Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 05/0500Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 05/0500Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1595 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (06 Jan, 07 Jan, 08 Jan). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (06 Jan, 07 Jan, 08 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Jan a 08 Jan
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       05 Jan 154
  Previsto   06 Jan-08 Jan 152/148/140
  Media de 90 Días        05 Jan 147

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 04 Jan  004/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 05 Jan  013/014
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 06 Jan-08 Jan  005/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Jan a 08 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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