Viendo archivo del martes, 3 febrero 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Feb 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 34 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Feb 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (04 Feb, 05
Feb, 06 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 344 km/s at 03/1852Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
03/2054Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
02/2158Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 10479 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (04 Feb), quiet to minor storm levels
on day two (05 Feb) and active to minor storm levels on day three (06
Feb). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and
three (04 Feb, 05 Feb, 06 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Feb a 06 Feb
| Clase M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clase X | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Protón | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Feb 178 Previsto 04 Feb-06 Feb 180/180/175 Media de 90 Días 03 Feb 152
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Feb 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Feb 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Feb-06 Feb 006/005-010/016-018/027
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Feb a 06 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 55% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 11/02/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 129.4 +16.8 |
| Last 30 days | 129.3 +29.3 |