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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jan 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 7 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jan 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (08 Jan, 09 Jan, 10 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 378 km/s at 07/1405Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
07/1318Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
07/2100Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1260 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (08 Jan), quiet to minor storm levels
on day two (09 Jan) and quiet to active levels on day three (10 Jan).
Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and
three (08 Jan, 09 Jan, 10 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jan a 10 Jan
| Clase M | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Jan 135 Previsto 08 Jan-10 Jan 132/130/130 Media de 90 Días 07 Jan 148
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jan 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Jan 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan 007/005-015/024-013/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jan a 10 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 65% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119.2 -4.8 |
| Last 30 days | 119.5 +1.5 |