Viendo archivo del jueves, 16 abril 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Apr 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 106 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Apr 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (17 Apr, 18 Apr,
19 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 355 km/s at 15/2235Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
16/0350Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
16/1440Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2407 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to major storm levels on day one (17 Apr), unsettled to
major storm levels on day two (18 Apr) and unsettled to minor storm
levels on day three (19 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Apr a 19 Apr
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Apr 108 Previsto 17 Apr-19 Apr 110/110/108 Media de 90 Días 16 Apr 134
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Apr 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Apr 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Apr-19 Apr 015/020-025/040-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Apr a 19 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 80% | 85% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 89.2 +9.9 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +7.6 |
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