Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 mayo 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 May 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 133 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 May 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (14 May, 15 May,
16 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 520 km/s at 13/1341Z. Total IMF reached 13
nT at 13/1132Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
13/1243Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 518 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (14 May), active to major
storm levels on day two (15 May) and unsettled to minor storm levels on
day three (16 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 May a 16 May
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 May 103 Previsto 14 May-16 May 105/100/100 Media de 90 Días 13 May 125
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 May 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 May 010/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 May-16 May 010/012-022/030-018/024
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 May a 16 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 20% | 15% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 75% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 87.6 +8.3 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +9.1 |
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