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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jun 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 160 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jun 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (10 Jun, 11 Jun, 12 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 507 km/s at 09/0555Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 09/1026Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 09/1823Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4259 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (10 Jun, 12 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (11 Jun). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (10 Jun, 11 Jun, 12 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jun a 12 Jun
Clase M55%55%55%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Jun 130
  Previsto   10 Jun-12 Jun 130/130/128
  Media de 90 Días        09 Jun 125

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jun  009/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Jun  010/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun  011/012-010/012-013/015

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jun a 12 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%30%35%
Tormenta Menor10%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor30%30%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa45%35%45%

All times in UTC

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