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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jun 11 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 162 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Jun 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (12 Jun, 13 Jun, 14 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 505 km/s at 11/2100Z. Total IMF reached 14 nT at 11/2053Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -12 nT at 11/2037Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 585 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (12 Jun), unsettled to major storm levels on day two (13 Jun) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (14 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Jun a 14 Jun
Clase M45%45%45%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Jun 127
  Previsto   12 Jun-14 Jun 128/128/125
  Media de 90 Días        11 Jun 126

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Jun  007/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Jun  014/017
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Jun-14 Jun  015/020-025/036-016/022

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Jun a 14 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo45%30%45%
Tormenta Menor25%45%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%15%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%05%10%
Tormenta Menor25%15%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa70%75%60%

All times in UTC

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