Viendo archivo del viernes, 15 mayo 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 May 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 135 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 May 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (16 May, 17 May,
18 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 712 km/s at 15/1917Z. Total IMF
reached 16 nT at 15/1556Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-13 nT at 15/1647Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 340 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on days one and two (16 May, 17
May) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (18 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 May a 18 May
| Clase M | 40% | 30% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 May 101 Previsto 16 May-18 May 100/100/100 Media de 90 Días 15 May 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 May 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 May 022/036 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 May-18 May 017/024-016/019-013/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 May a 18 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 70% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 87.6 +8.3 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +9.1 |
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