Emesso: 2016 Sep 11 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2016 | 091 | 005 |
| 12 Sep 2016 | 087 | 011 |
| 13 Sep 2016 | 082 | 006 |
Only B-class flaring was observed, the strongest a B9.2 flare peaking at 19:22UT and produced by NOAA 2591. NOAA 2585, 2588 and 2589 are gradually decaying. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME) have been observed.
A C-class flare is possible, with a small chance on an isolated M-class event.
Solar wind parameters were at nominal values, with wind speed declining slightly from about 390 km/s to 360 km/s. Bz fluctuated between -3 and +3 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was mostly directed away from the Sun (positive). Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels, with Dourbes reporting an unsettled episode during the 21-24UT interval.
Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a chance on active intervals should the moderate speed stream from a polar coronal hole extension arrive at the earth environment later today.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 067, based on 14 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 093 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 004 |
| Estimated Ap | 004 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 081 - Based on 28 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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