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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2016 Oct 08 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Brillamenti solari

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
08 Oct 2016	106	011
09 Oct 2016	107	011
10 Oct 2016	106	011

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been very low. No significant flares have been recorded. Active Region AR 2598 (Mcintosh class:Dai; Mag. type:Beta) has been most active producing B-class flares, but shows evidence of flux emergence in HMI magnetogram observations, which may result in increased flaring activity around the C-class level over the next 24 hours. The solar wind speed has fluctuated between 400 and 475 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 3 nT and 7 nT. The Bz component fluctuated between -5 and +5 nT, but remained mainly positive. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-4 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. There is currently a small positive polarity Northern polar coronal hole which shouldn't affect the Earth.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 066, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 07 Oct 2016

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	104
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	008
Estimated Ap	006
Estimated international sunspot number	062 - Based on 17 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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