查看星期六, 12 10月 2013歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2013 Oct 12 1128 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
12 Oct 2013	132	010
13 Oct 2013	134	007
14 Oct 2013	134	016

公告

Active conditions are expected to prevail for the next 48 hours, with risks of M class events from NOAA ARs 1861 and 1865. Both regions are magnetically complex enough for such class of flares, but somehow do not show anymore significant evolutions. Many C flares occurred in the past 24 hours related to these two regions. A noticeable one, a C6.2 event, occurred in AR 1865 on Oct. 11, 1228 UT peak time. It was associated with a CME, which is heading essentially eastward, compared to the Earth, and is therefore expected not to be geoeffective. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions for the next 24-36 hours, and then unsettled to active conditions by the second half of Oct. 14, due a small coronal hole becoming geoeffective. Current interplanetary conditions are quiet.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：077，基於10個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 11 Oct 2013

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	167
10厘米太陽通量	129
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	007
估計地磁Ap指數	006
估計國際太陽黑子數	092 - 基於16個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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