查看星期五, 8 11月 2013歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2013 Nov 08 1218 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10公分通量	Ap
08 Nov 2013	153	009
09 Nov 2013	154	004
10 Nov 2013	154	009

公告

Catania sunspot group 35 (NOAA AR 1890) keeps the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, although the delta-spot got somewhat weaker. Catania sunspot group 32 (NOAA AR 1891) is reported to have the beta-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, although the delta-spot seems to lose its penumbra during the M2.3 flare peaking at 09:28 UT in this active region today. We expect flaring activity on the M-level from these two active regions. An X-class flare is possible in the Catania sunspot group 35 (NOAA AR 1890), but it is not very likely. Due to the position of this group close to the solar central meridian, we issue a warning condition for a proton event. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 390 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so in the coming hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：105，基於11個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 07 Nov 2013

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	194
10厘米太陽通量	148
AK Chambon La Forêt	018
AK Wingst	010
估計地磁Ap指數	012
估計國際太陽黑子數	111 - 基於14個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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