發布時間: 2014 Aug 03 1214 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug 2014 | 162 | 008 |
| 04 Aug 2014 | 160 | 013 |
| 05 Aug 2014 | 160 | 006 |
The strongest flare over the last 24 hours was a C2.7 peaking on 2 August at 13:28UT and produced by NOAA 2132. Together with NOAA 2121 and 2134, it produced only low-level C-class flares. The two 25-degrees long filaments in the NE and SW quadrant remained stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. C-class flaring is expected, with a small chance on an M-class flare from NOAA 2130, 2132 and 2134. Solar wind speed decreased from an initial value near 450 km/s to about 390 km/s. Bz started out mostly negative near -8 nT, after which positive values dominated up to a maximum of 5 nT. There was no obvious signature in the solar wind parameters of a passing-by of the 30 July CME. Geomagnetic conditions were initially unsettled in Dourbes, with Kp even briefly reaching 4. Afterwards, quiet to unsettled conditions prevailed. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet, with some unsettled conditions possible later today and tomorrow under the influence of a coronal hole stream and the possible glancing blow from a CME related to the M-flares on 1 August. Locally, a brief active episode is not excluded.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):110,基於15個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 156 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 017 |
| AK Wingst | 012 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 013 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 123 - 基於20個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理
所有時間均採用 UTC 時間
很多網友來到 SpaceWeatherLive 追蹤太陽活動或極光觀測機會,但隨著流量增加,維持伺服器運作的成本也隨之越高。若您喜歡 SpaceWeatherLive 並想支持這個計畫,可選擇訂閱無廣告版本,或考慮捐款。有了您的幫助,我們才能讓 SpaceWeatherLive 持續運作!
| 上一個 X-閃焰 | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 19/12/2025 | M1.0 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
| 上一個無黑子日 | 08/06/2022 |
| 黑子數月平均 | |
|---|---|
| 11月 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| 12月 2025 | 120.8 +29 |
| 過去 30 天內 | 108.7 +19.4 |