發布時間: 2014 Aug 31 1227 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2014 | 135 | 016 |
| 01 Sep 2014 | 135 | 006 |
| 02 Sep 2014 | 140 | 004 |
A handful of C-class flares were observed, with NOAA AR 2149 and AR 2152 as source regions. NOAA AR 2152 has grown in size and complexity and has developed to a beta-gamma region. More C-class flares are expected, with a slight chance for an M-class flare. No Earth-directed CMEs were visible in coronographic images. The solar wind is under influence of a coronal hole (CH) high speed stream (HSS). The solar wind speed, as observed by ACE, reached values between 400 and 450 km/s. The magnetic field is relatively stable around 6 to 7 nT, with a fluctuating Bz. Geomagnetic conditions are unsettled to active and are expected remain so for the next few hours, until quiet conditions return.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):057,基於17個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 123 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 019 |
| AK Wingst | 016 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 017 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 057 - 基於15個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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