查看星期五, 24 10月 2014歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2014 Oct 24 1256 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Major flares expected (X-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10公分通量	Ap
24 Oct 2014	226	010
25 Oct 2014	231	011
26 Oct 2014	237	011

公告

Catania sunspot group 88 (NOAA AR 2192) continues to grow and maintains the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. The strongest flare it produced during the past 24 hours was the M4.0 flare peaking at 07:48 UT today. This flare was accompanied only with a narrow CME that is not expected to arrive at the Earth. We expect the flaring activity up to X-level from this sunspot group. As the Catania sunspot group 88 is currently situated close to the solar central meridian, a major eruption in this active region may lead to a geoeffective CME and a proton event. A long filament in the northern hemisphere is approaching the solar central meridian. Its possible eruption may lead to an Earth-directed CME. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 430 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 6 nT) interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so, with isolated intervals of active conditions (K = 4) possible but unlikely.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：106，基於08個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 23 Oct 2014

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	///
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	///
估計地磁Ap指數	///
估計國際太陽黑子數	093 - 基於10個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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