查看星期四, 16 11月 2023歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2023 Nov 16 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
16 Nov 2023	119	007
17 Nov 2023	119	007
18 Nov 2023	119	007

太陽活動區和耀斑

There are three active regions visible on the disk (three rotated out of view in the last 24 hours). Only C-class flaring has been observed in the last 24 hours. The strongest flare was a C7.6 from NOAA AR 3485 close to the west limb (beta magnetic field configuration), peaking at 12:12 UTC on 15 November. More C-class flares can be expected in the next 24 hours.

日冕物質拋射

Two partial halo CMEs were observed erupting on 15 November (at 01:25 UTC and at 06:12 UTC), both eruptions were directed towards the north and most likely originated from the backside of the Sun as no related activity is seen on the frontside, so they are not expected to affect the Earth.

太陽風

The Earth is immersed in slow solar wind, over the last 24 hours solar wind speed has remained constant around 400 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. Same conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

地磁

During the last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled globally (NOAA KP 3) and reached active levels locally (K_Bel 4). Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

質子通量水平

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold, as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels, it is expected to stay at those levels for the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：036，基於10個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 15 Nov 2023

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	041
10厘米太陽通量	119
AK Chambon La Forêt	022
AK Wingst	016
估計地磁Ap指數	016
估計國際太陽黑子數	036 - 基於21個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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