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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2014 Jan 18 1513 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
18 Jan 2014	129	005
19 Jan 2014	132	008
20 Jan 2014	137	010

Bulletin

During last 24 hours sixteen C-class flares were reported, majority of them originated from the active region currently on and behind the East solar limb. The strongest flare was the C8.9 flare which peaked at 16:08 UT on January 17. The flare originated from the active region situated just behind the East solar limb and was associated with the CME directed southward from the Sun-Earth line. We expect C-class flares are probably also isolated M-class flare in the following 24 hours. The Earth is inside a slow solar wind with a speed of about 310 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field is still stable with the magnitude between 2 and 3 nT. The glancing blow from the CME-driven shock wave, associated with the partial halo CME observed on January 14, is expected to arrive at the Earth today. Therefore we expect quiet to unsettled to geomagnetic conditions in the following hours. The CME-driven shock wave, associated with a partial halo CME (limb event) on January 16, could be expected on January 20-21.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 082, na základě 13 stanic.

Solární indexy za 17 Jan 2014

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	129
AK Chambon La Forêt	006
AK Wingst	004
Odhadovaný Ap	003
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	054 - Na základě 17 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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