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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2016 Aug 31 1327 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
31 Aug 2016	099	010
01 Sep 2016	100	011
02 Sep 2016	099	021

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. The largest flare was a C2.7 class flare, produced from a region that has just rotated onto the East solar limb. Active Region (AR) 2583 (Macintosh class:Cao; Mag. type:Beta) has been most active, but has now moved onto the West solar limb, and will soon pass over the limb. All other ARs have shown low levels of activity. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. No Earth directed CMEs were detected. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a chance of C-class flares and a low probability of M-class flares. The solar wind speed has fluctuated between 400 to 480 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has slowly decreased from around 10 nT to 5 nT. The Bz component has oscillated between positive and negative, fluctuating between -10 and +8 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 2-4 (NOAA) and local K index 1-4 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. A small trans-equatorial coronal hole located at central latitudes created enhanced solar wind speeds and geo-activity yesterday evening. A large positive polarity Northern polar coronal hole extending toward low latitudes has just passed into the Western hemisphere. The resulting High Speed Stream (HSS) will enhance solar wind speeds in a couple of days, which may increase geomagnetic activity.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 077, na základě 28 stanic.

Solární indexy za 30 Aug 2016

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	100
AK Chambon La Forêt	026
AK Wingst	024
Odhadovaný Ap	024
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	075 - Na základě 36 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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