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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2022 Sep 05 1234 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
05 Sep 2022	125	019
06 Sep 2022	123	012
07 Sep 2022	120	006

Bulletin

Solar flaring activity was low but frequent during the last 24 hours with several C-class flares detected. Both NOAA Active Regions (AR) 3089 and 3092 produced numerous C-class flares, with the brightest being a C8 at 4 September 16:38 UTC, associated with NOAA AR 3089. NOAA AR 3092 is expected to continue its C-class flare activity, while NOAA AR 3089 is turning away from Earth's view and its flaring activity is likely to become invisible from Earth in the next 24 hours.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME) were detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux exceeded the 1000 pfu threshold for several hours during the last 24 hours as a result of the arrival of the high speed stream. In the next 24 hours it is expected to reach again the 1000 pfu threshold level, but for a shorter period. The 24h electron fluence reached moderate levels during the last 24 hours and is expected to gradually return to nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

During the last 24 hours the Solar Wind (SW) conditions featured a gradual return to a slow SW regime, following the arrival of a High Speed Stream (HSS) that arrived on 3 Sep. The SW speed dropped from 720 to 550 km/s in the last 24 hours. The total magnetic field (Bt) also dropped from 10 to 6 nT, while its Bz component ranged between -10 to 8 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was directed away from the Sun during the last 24 hours. The SW conditions are expected to gradually return to a typical slow SW regime in the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions reached globally moderate storm levels (Kp=6) on 4 Sep between 15:00 and 18:00 UTC, in response to the arrival of the HSS on 3 Sep. Minor storm levels (Kp=5) were observed between 12:00 and 15:00 UTC on 3 Sep and again between 21:00 UTC 3 Sep and 06:00 UTC today. For the rest of the last 24 hours the conditions were at active levels (Kp=4). A gradual return to moderate levels (Kp=3) is expected for the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 081, na základě 15 stanic.

Solární indexy za 04 Sep 2022

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	128
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	///
Odhadovaný Ap	051
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	068 - Na základě 24 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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