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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2023 Feb 04 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
04 Feb 2023	137	007
05 Feb 2023	137	007
06 Feb 2023	137	007

Bulletin

There are five active regions visible on the solar disc, all of them with simple alpha or beta magnetic field configuration. Solar flaring activity was at low levels over the past 24 hours, with several C-class flares detected. The strongest one was a C2.9 flare from NOAA AR 2307, peaking at 16:30 UTC on 3 February. Further C class flaring is expected.

A wide CME was first seen at 10:36 UTC on 3 February by LASCO C2, with a speed of around 400 km/s, it may arrive to the Earth on 7 February.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux has been below the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

A negative polarity equatorial coronal crossed the central meridian yesterday, its associated high speed stream will arrive to the Earth in about 2 days.

In the last 24 hours we saw a period of relatively high magnetic field reaching 11 nT with Bz down to -6 nT, probably corresponding to a weak ICME, it ended at 18:00 UTC on 3 February. The solar wind speed at L1 is at 300 km/s with an interplanetary magnetic field around 6 nT, with mostly negative polarity (oriented towards the Sun). Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions were unsettled both locally and at planetary levels (K_Dourbes and Kp up to 3). Similar conditions expected for the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 084, na základě 05 stanic.

Solární indexy za 03 Feb 2023

Wolfovo číslo Catania	085
10cm sluneční tok	135
AK Chambon La Forêt	017
AK Wingst	010
Odhadovaný Ap	009
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	067 - Na základě 17 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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