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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2023 Aug 12 1237 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
12 Aug 2023	153	007
13 Aug 2023	153	007
14 Aug 2023	153	007

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity has been quite over the past 24 hours with few C-class flares. The larger flare was a C8.9-class flare produced by NOAA AR 3395 (Catania sunspot group 14) and was peaking at 09:15 UTC on August 12. The other regions did not show any significant flaring activity. Solar flaring activity is expected to remain quite over the next 24 hours with a high probability of C-class flare and a small chance of M-class flares.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

No coronal mass ejection (CME) with an Earth- directed component was identified in the SOHO/LASCO-C2 coronagraph images over the past 24 hours.

Solární bouře

The solar wind parameters were mostly close to nominal levels over the past 24 hours. The solar wind speed was ranging from 480 km/s to 490 km/s). The total interplanetary magnetic field was below 7.8 nT. The north-south component was fluctuating between -5.4 nT and 7.0 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to remain as such for the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetismus

Geomagnetic conditions were mostly quiet with some short unsettled periods (NOAA Kp 1-3, K Belgium 1-2) over the past 24 hours. Quiet conditions with possible short unsettled periods are expected for the next 24 hours.

Úrovně protonového toku

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux has now decreased and returned to nominal values. New proton event cannot be excluded due to the flaring activity, however, it is not very likely.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was above the level of the 1000 pfu alert threshold for a short period, and is expected to remain below threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 080, na základě 17 stanic.

Solární indexy za 11 Aug 2023

Wolfovo číslo Catania	121
10cm sluneční tok	153
AK Chambon La Forêt	011
AK Wingst	004
Odhadovaný Ap	004
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	109 - Na základě 29 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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