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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2023 Sep 07 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
07 Sep 2023	147	007
08 Sep 2023	150	007
09 Sep 2023	150	007

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

There are presently eight numbered active regions observed at the visible side of the solar disc and four of them have beta configuration of the photospheric magnetic field. Solar flaring activity was during last 24 hours at the C-class level. Catania sunspot group 44 (NOAA AR 3423) has, during last 24 hours, strongly increased in the area, sunspot number and complexity of its photospheric magnetic field. Similar behavior was observed for Catania sunspot group 41 (NOAA AR 3421). We expect these two active regions to be source of majority of the flaring activity in the coming hours. We expect C-class but also an isolated M-class flares.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

During last 24 hours there were no Earth directed CMEs detected in the available coronagraph data.

Solární bouře

Earth is presently inside the slow solar wind with velocity of about 380 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 5 nT.

Geomagnetismus

During last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled, and we expect them to stay so in the comming hours. The solar wind, originating from the negative polarity coronal hole which crossed central meridian on September 03, can be expected at Earth later today.

Úrovně protonového toku

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at the background levels and we do not expect significant change in the coming hours. As the complex Catania sunspot group 41 (NOAA AR 3421) is approaching to the West solar limb, the strong flaring activity from this region in the coming days, could be associated with the particle event.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux has continue to fluctuate around the 1000 pfu threshold. The 24h electron fluence is at normal level. We do not expect significant change in these parameters in the coming hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 138, na základě 18 stanic.

Solární indexy za 06 Sep 2023

Wolfovo číslo Catania	178
10cm sluneční tok	147
AK Chambon La Forêt	011
AK Wingst	008
Odhadovaný Ap	008
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	133 - Na základě 29 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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