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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2025 Jan 18 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
18 Jan 2025	220	019
19 Jan 2025	240	007
20 Jan 2025	250	007

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity was high over the past 24 hours, with 7 M-class flares identified. The largest flare was a M7.4 flare (SIDC Flare 3308) peaking on January 17 at 13:35 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 378 (NOAA Active Region 3964). A total of 8 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 378 (NOAA Active Region 3964) (Beta-Gamma) was responsible for the majority of the flaring activity over the past 24 hours.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

No new Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph images.

Solární bouře

Slightly enhanced solar wind conditions are recorded over the past 24 hours, with solar wind speed from 530 to around 610 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field was initially 10nT and gradually decreased to 4 nT in the last 24 hours and the Bz reached a minimum value of -4 nT. Further enhancements of the solar wind speed are possible in the next 24h, due to the influence of the high-speed stream (HSS) of the coronal hole.

Geomagnetismus

Geomagnetic conditions were globally and locally quiet to active (Kp 4 and K Bel 4). Active conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.

Úrovně protonového toku

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so over the next days.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 16 remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, and it is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 154, na základě 03 stanic.

Solární indexy za 17 Jan 2025

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	227
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	024
Odhadovaný Ap	021
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	146 - Na základě 06 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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