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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2025 Apr 26 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
26 Apr 2025	164	013
27 Apr 2025	165	016
28 Apr 2025	167	007

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only C-class flares identified. A total of 14 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a C1.6 flare peaking at 10:07 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 458 (NOAA Active Regions 4075). Solar flaring activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares very likely and a chance for M-class flares.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in the available coronagraph imagery in the last 24 hours.

Koronální díra

There is a large positive polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 104) covering a large area of the southern hemisphere. And one more, smaller, positive polarity coronal hole in the northern hemisphere that crossed the central meridian on 24 April.

Solární bouře

The solar wind speed has been gradually decreasing to around 450 km/s in the last 24 hours, with an interplanetary magnetic field of 5 nT, and Bz mostly positive. In the next 24 hours we may see the arrival of a high speed stream if the solar wind from the positive polarity coronal holes in the southern and/or in the northern hemisphere arrive to the Earth.

Geomagnetismus

Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet globally and locally (Kp and K_Bel up to 2). The possible arrival of a high speed solar wind stream may increase conditions to active levels. Otherwise, mostly quiet conditions can be expected.

Úrovně protonového toku

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold level over the next 24 hours.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 18 and 19 was below the threshold over the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux may increase over the next 24 hours.The 24-hour electron fluence is presently at normal levels, it may increase over the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 168, na základě 16 stanic.

Solární indexy za 25 Apr 2025

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	164
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	004
Odhadovaný Ap	004
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	193 - Na základě 17 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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