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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2025 Jun 19 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
19 Jun 2025	137	014
20 Jun 2025	139	014
21 Jun 2025	141	011

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity was at low levels over the past 24 hours. A total of 8 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the visible solar disk. The strongest activity was a C7.9 flare (SIDC Flare 4701), peak time 09:17 UTC on June 19. The flare was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 523 (NOAA Active Region 4114), which remains the most complex region on disk, classified as magnetic type beta-gamma- delta. SIDC Sunspot Group 526 (NOAA Active Region 4117) which recently rotated from over the east limb is now classified as magnetic type beta- gamma. These two regions are responsible for most of the flaring activity over the past 24 hours. The remaining active regions on the visible disk have been simple and/or quiet. Solar flaring activity is expected to be at moderate levels over the next 24 hours with likely M-class flares.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been identified in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.

Koronální díra

A large positive polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 104) continues to reside on the central meridian. This is a mid-latitude southern coronal hole covering a large longitudinal range which first crossed the central meridian on June 11. A mild high speed stream emanating from it is expected to continue influencing the Earth over the next days.

Solární bouře

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) were under the continuous influence of a high speed stream from a large positive polarity coronal hole, part of which still resides on the central meridian. The interplanetary magnetic field (B) was enhanced with a maximum value of 10.7 nT and a minimum Bz of -8 nT. The solar wind speed reached up to 600 km/s. The B field phi angle was predominantly in the positive sector (directed away from the Sun). The solar wind conditions are expected to continue to be under the influence of a high speed stream over the next days.

Geomagnetismus

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet to active. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Úrovně protonového toku

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux has been at nominal levels and is expected to remain at nominal levels over the next days.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 10 MeV GOES 18 electron flux briefly exceeded the 1000 pfu threshold over the last 24 hours and is expected to exceed the threshold again over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at the nominal levels and is expected to be at the border of nominal to moderate levels in the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 132, na základě 21 stanic.

Solární indexy za 18 Jun 2025

Wolfovo číslo Catania	128
10cm sluneční tok	137
AK Chambon La Forêt	022
AK Wingst	018
Odhadovaný Ap	018
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	131 - Na základě 32 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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