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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2025 Jul 16 1232 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
16 Jul 2025	139	008
17 Jul 2025	135	013
18 Jul 2025	132	010

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only five C-class flares identified. SIDC Sunspot Group 559 (NOAA Active Region [AR] 4143, Beta magnetic configuration) produced three of the flares, including the brightest, SIDC flare 4898, a C5 on 16 Jul at 03:58 UTC. SIDC Sunspot Group 558 (NOAA AR 4142, Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration) produced the rest of the flaring activity. C-class flares are expected for the next 24 hours.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours.

Solární bouře

During the past 24 hours the Solar Wind (SW) conditions continued to be affected by the the High Speed Stream (HSS) that arrived on 11 July and is associated with SIDC Coronal Hole 104 (positive polarity). However, the effect is significantly subsided with the SW speed gradually decreasing from 730 km/s to 500 km/s . The interplanetary magnetic field (B) varied between 3 and 8 nT and its North-South component (Bz) fluctuated between -6 and 7 nT. The fast SW conditions are expected remain at the current levels in the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetismus

The geomagnetic conditions were globally at quiet to unsettled levels (NOAA Kp 2- to 3) for most of the past 24 hours with the exception of active conditions on 16 Jul between 09:00 and 12:00 UTC. Locally the conditions were quiet to unsettled (K BEL 1 to 3) throughout the last 24 hours. For the next 24 hours the conditions are expected to remain at unsettled to quiet levels and possibly register active conditions for short intervals.

Úrovně protonového toku

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-19 satellite, was at background levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES 19, was mostly above the 1000 pfu alert threshold during the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain above the alert level in the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence reached moderate levels since 15 Jul at 15:00 UTC. It is expected to remain at the current levels in the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 204, na základě 20 stanic.

Solární indexy za 15 Jul 2025

Wolfovo číslo Catania	205
10cm sluneční tok	139
AK Chambon La Forêt	024
AK Wingst	023
Odhadovaný Ap	024
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	174 - Na základě 25 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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