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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2025 Jul 17 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
17 Jul 2025	152	017
18 Jul 2025	145	031
19 Jul 2025	140	024

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only four C-class flares identified. SIDC Sunspot Group 562 (NOAA Active Region [AR] 4136, Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration) produced the brightest flare (SIDC flare 4904, a C5 on 17 Jul at 09:28 UTC) of the past 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 558 (NOAA AR 4142, Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration) and SIDC Sunspot Group 561 (NOAA AR 4145, Beta magnetic configuration) produced the remaining flares. Solar flaring activity is likely to be low over the next 24 hours, with and a chance for M-class flares.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours.

Solární bouře

During the past 24 hours the Solar Wind (SW) conditions continued to be affected by the the High Speed Stream (HSS) that arrived on 11 July and is associated with SIDC Coronal Hole 104 (positive polarity). The SW speed increased from 550 km/s 700 km/s during the past 24 hours. The interplanetary magnetic field (B) varied between 4 and 8 nT and its North- South component (Bz) fluctuated between -8 and 7 nT. The fast SW conditions are expected to persist in the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetismus

The global geomagnetic conditions registered minor storm levels for a short period of time (NOAA Kp 5 on 16 Jul from 21:00 to 24:00 UTC) while the rest of the past 24 hours varied between quiet and active conditions (NOAA Kp 1+ to 4-). Locally the conditions were milder with active conditions (K BEL 4) registering on 17 Jul from 06:00 to 12:00 UTC, while quiet to unsettled conditions (K BEL 2 to 3) were observed the remaining of the past 24 hours. Active to minor storm conditions are expected in the next 24 hours, with a small chance of a moderate storm.

Úrovně protonového toku

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-19 satellite, was at background levels over the past 24 hours and is likely to remain so in the next 24 hours. Nevertheless, there is a small chance that a proton event might occur during the next 24 hours.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES 19, was mostly above the 1000 pfu alert threshold during the past 24 hours. It is expected to repeat a similar patern in the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels during the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain at the current levels in the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 193, na základě 21 stanic.

Solární indexy za 16 Jul 2025

Wolfovo číslo Catania	222
10cm sluneční tok	152
AK Chambon La Forêt	028
AK Wingst	017
Odhadovaný Ap	017
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	205 - Na základě 29 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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