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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2025 Jul 28 1237 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
28 Jul 2025	143	008
29 Jul 2025	141	013
30 Jul 2025	141	017

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity was at low levels with low C-class flaring over the past 24 hours. A total of 11 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the visible solar disk most of them being small, simple and inactive. Most of the flaring activity, including a C3.1 flare (SIDC Flare 4958) with peak time 18:44 UTC on July 27, was produced by a returning region close to the east limb, namely SIDC Sunspot Group 555 (NOAA Active Regions 4141, 4161). SIDC Sunspot Group 570 (NOAA Active Region 4153) has also contributed to the low flaring activity over the past day, as well as SIDC Sunspot Group 572 (NOAA Active Region 4155), which has shown signatures of decay. All three active regions are classified as magnetic type beta. The solar flaring activity is expected to remain at low levels over the next 24 hours, with very likely C-class flares and a chance for M-class flares.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been identified in the available coronagraph imagery.

Koronální díra

A mid-latitudinal negative polarity coronal hole (SIDC 121), which first crossed the central meridian on July 26, continues to reside there. High-speed stream related to SIDC 121 is expected to reach Earth on July 29.

Solární bouře

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) have reflected nominal background slow solar wind conditions. The interplanetary magnetic field (B) was rather weak with magnitude below 3 nT and a minimum Bz of -3.6 nT. The solar wind speed was below 500 km/s. The B field phi angle was predominantly in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The solar wind conditions are expected to become elevated under the influence of a high speed stream starting from July 29.

Geomagnetismus

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were globally quiet. Locally a single unsettled period was registered over Belgium between 18:00 and 19:00 UTC on July 27. Mostly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Active periods to isolated minor storms levels can be reached later on July 29 with an expected high speed stream arrival from a negative polarity coronal hole.

Úrovně protonového toku

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux has been at nominal levels. The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux is expected to remain at nominal levels over the next days.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 10 MeV GOES 16 and GOES 18 electron fluxes were oscillating around the 1000 pfu threshold over the last 24 hours and are expected to continue to do so in the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at the border of nominal to moderate levels and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 133, na základě 15 stanic.

Solární indexy za 27 Jul 2025

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	145
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	004
Odhadovaný Ap	004
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	138 - Na základě 18 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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