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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2025 Jul 29 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
29 Jul 2025	146	014
30 Jul 2025	148	015
31 Jul 2025	150	015

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity was at low levels with low C-class flaring over the past 24 hours. A total of 12 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the visible solar disk most of them being small, simple and inactive. The largest flare was a C3.1 flare (SIDC Flare 4960) peaking on July 29 at 05:11 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 572 (NOAA Active Region 4155). The region has been classified as beta and and has exhibited small growth over past 24 hours. Other low C-class flaring was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 570 (NOAA Active Region 4153) and a region behind the west limb. Several new and simple active regions have emerged on the visible solar disc, but have been inactive.The solar flaring activity is expected to remain at low levels over the next 24 hours, with very likely C-class flares and a chance for M-class flares.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been identified in the available coronagraph imagery.

Solární bouře

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters as measured by ACE have reflected nominal background slow solar wind conditions. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (B) reached 7.7 nT with a minimum Bz of -5.5 nT. The solar wind speed was mostly below 450 km/s with speeds reaching as low as 336 km/s. The B field phi angle remained predominantly in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The solar wind conditions are expected to become enhanced under an anticipated influence of a high speed stream over the upcoming days possibly starting from late on July 29.

Geomagnetismus

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet to unsettled. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 24 hours with chances for isolated minor storms intervals related to the expected arrival of a high speed stream arrival.

Úrovně protonového toku

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux has been at nominal levels and is expected to remain at nominal levels over the next days.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 10 MeV GOES 18 and GOES 19 electron fluxes have briefly exceeded the 1000 pfu threshold over the last 24 hours and are expected to reach the 1000 pfu threshold again in the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at the border of nominal to moderate levels and is expected to be at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 138, na základě 21 stanic.

Solární indexy za 28 Jul 2025

Wolfovo číslo Catania	169
10cm sluneční tok	145
AK Chambon La Forêt	014
AK Wingst	008
Odhadovaný Ap	008
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	135 - Na základě 20 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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