Viendo archivo del viernes, 5 junio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jun 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 156 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 JUN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8232 (S18E34) PRODUCED A
HANDFUL OF C1/SF FLARES DURING THE PERIOD. THIS REGION IS NOW
MAGNETICALLY CLASSIFIED AS A BETA-GAMMA. REGION 8033 (N28E36)
PRODUCED SEVERAL SMALL SUBFLARES. THREE MODERATE SIZE FILAMENTS IN
THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE FADED OVER A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS
BEGINNING EARLY ON 05 JUN. AN EXTENSIVE POST-ERUPTION ARCADE WAS
OBSERVED IN BOTH EUV AND X-RAYS FOLLOWING THE FILAMENT DISRUPTIONS.
A CME FROM THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE WAS ALSO OBSERVED DURING THE EARLY
HOURS OF 05 JUN.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY
LOW. REGION 8232 MAINTAINS THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING AN ISOLATED
M-CLASS EVENT.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. SOLAR WIND VELOCITIES
WERE UNDER 400 KM/S FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD. A VERY WEAK
ENHANCEMENT OF THE GT 10 MEV PROTON FLUX BEGAN NEAR 04/2000Z AND
RETURNED TO BACKGROUND LEVELS AT THE END OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED
ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME. UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON 09 JUN IN RESPONSE TO THE FILAMENT
DISRUPTIONS MENTIONED ABOVE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 JUN a 08 JUN
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 JUN 115 Previsto 06 JUN-08 JUN 115/115/115 Media de 90 Días 05 JUN 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 JUN 007/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 JUN 008/014 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 JUN-08 JUN 010/012-007/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 JUN a 08 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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