Viendo archivo del jueves, 2 julio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jul 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 183 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 JUL 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C1
FLARE OCCURRED AT 02/0122Z. THE ONLY OTHER REGION TO FLARE THIS
PERIOD WAS REGION 8256 (S24W19), PRODUCING A B8/SF AT 02/1242Z.
REGION 8260 (S24E12) EXHIBITED FREQUENT PLAGE FLUCTUATIONS LATE IN
THE PERIOD. REMAINING REGIONS HAVE BEEN STABLE OR SHOWED SOME
DECAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW. THOUGH MOST OF THE ACTIVE REGIONS HAVE STABILIZED OR DECAYED
THIS PERIOD, THE POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ONE ACTIVE
PERIOD BETWEEN 02/00-03Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED. OCCASIONAL ACTIVE PERIODS
ARE EXPECTED ON 4 AND 5 JULY IN RESPONSE TO THE C6/SF ON 1 JULY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 JUL a 05 JUL
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 JUL 120 Previsto 03 JUL-05 JUL 120/118/116 Media de 90 Días 02 JUL 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 JUL 006/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 JUL 012/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 JUL-05 JUL 010/012-015/015-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 JUL a 05 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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