Viendo archivo del jueves, 19 noviembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Nov 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 323 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 NOV 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
REGION 8384 (S16W66) WAS QUIET AND STABLE. REGION 8391 (S16E48) WAS
MORE CLEARLY VISIBLE TODAY AS A C-TYPE SUNSPOT GROUP BUT WAS ALSO
VERY STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
GEOAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO
BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 NOV a 22 NOV
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 NOV 117 Previsto 20 NOV-22 NOV 115/110/110 Media de 90 Días 19 NOV 128
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 NOV 005/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 NOV 010/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 NOV-22 NOV 010/015-010/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 NOV a 22 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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